Barack’s effects on the economy

8 November 2008 Sören Zschoche 11 Comments Economy

Although I’m not an American I’m really happy to see that now for the first time in the history of the USA a man with Afro American roots became president. I think this decision has improved the image of the USA in the world very much. The image which has suffered under the government of George W. Bush, is now back with a new message “Change”. But what can the U.S. and the rest of the world expect from the new president and much more interesting which parts of the economy will benefit from him? First of all we shouldn’t expect too much from Mr. Obama, although he is a great speaker with fire in the eyes. The President-elect is facing some of the biggest problems the U.S ever had:

  • The national debt has achieved the incredible amount of $1100.000.000.000
  • The war in Iraq swallows up $5.000 per second, that’s $300.000 per minute and $432.000.000 per day
  • The climate is in danger to collapse if the world and especially the U.S. won’t come to grips with their emissions we are in danger of loosing the planet as we know it

To say nothing about the financial crisis, new conflicts with Russia, the Iran or Venezuela or just the fact that we are facing a recession which consequences can’t just be estimated right now.

So above all these points it’s hard to imagine that Mr. Obama is able to spend any money for anything at all. But the promises Barack Obama made don’t have to be mutually exclusive. For example though investments and subventions of renewable energies new jobs can be created. That has the same effect like a stimulus package. Also it’s a good alternative for searching oil in far dessert countries. So I’m sure that Barack will make affords to support renewable energies, he also promised to spend $150 billion in the next 10 years in that industry. But which companies could benefit from that?

I picked out a few companies which could theoretically benefit from his plans, but before you buy these stocks now remember, just because a stock sounds interesting it doesn’t mean that it rises. If you want to buy these watch out for the right price.

The first one is First Solar [www.firstsolar.com (NASD: FSLR)], a producer of solar panels. Solar energy will have a lion’s share at the power supply of renewable energies. So First Solar will be the first address in the U.S.

The second one is Acher Daniels Midland [www.admworld.com (ADM)], a producer of food, fertilizer but also in bio fuels. Bio fuels will be very interesting for the government under Barack Obama because they can create jobs in the farming sector as well as they can make America independent of the so called pariah states.

Other interesting companies could be Repower, Solarworld, Nordex or Evergreen Solar.

The second promise senator Obama made is to make health care affordable for many of the 47 million Americans who are currently not insured. This point will be difficult because large health insurance companies like Aetna or UnitedHealthcare fear that they might suffer under lower profits. Also I don’t know if America is ready for so a social system, yet. Perhaps that’s why Obama didn’t say something concrete about this point, yet. But if a company would benefit from that it would definitely be Community Health Systems [www.chs.net (CYH)]. Community Health Systems provides hospitals and hospitals would be the direct winners of any health care plan. But you can of course disagree with me in this point.

So I hope that Barack Obama will be able to put his plans into practice. However I think many people believe in him and faith can be the beginning for “Change” also when it seems to be very difficult.

What’s your opinion? Do you know companies, that are likely to benefit from Mr. Obama’s plans? Please write a comment and let us know!

11 Comments »

  • Justin MacArthur said:

    I think that Obama can certainly make some of the “Change” that he won the election with, but that perhaps the public is expecting a little too much. There is no simple solution, and he must coordinate with Congress to deal with the energy sector and cross partisan lines to ameliorate the current economic situation.

  • Metatrader ea said:

    It seems to me that public will be disappointed with Obama’s efforts even though he will hardly try to manage effectively…

  • Forex scalping said:

    Well, with such expenses Obama must work hard to return economy to normal stste…

  • Forex Hedging said:

    Ha-ha, new jobs created through investments and subventions of renewable energies are too artificial. Such communist way of creating new jobs destroys economics. The only benefit is for environment.

  • Neural forex said:

    Justin MacArthur is right, public is expecting a little too much from Obama.

  • Forex trading systems said:

    Are we facing real problems with social system? Last words make me think so.

  • Charles Batley said:

    Tempeltoncapital says that WITH THE BANK OF ENGLAND in panic mode, slashing the returns-paid-to-savers to three-century lows at the start of December, the clear winners from its campaign to reboot the bubble so far have been gold investors stuck with Pounds to earn and Pounds to spend. Since the Old Lady began cutting interest rates exactly 12 months ago, the number of UK investors choosing to own gold through The Tempeltoncapital Guaranteed Bullion & Commodities Fund has risen by more than 130%.

  • Steve Kahn said:

    I really hope Obama can fix this system. I feel one of the biggest problems with the system is the injustice and disenfranchisement many feel from corrupt business practices and ineffective government.

    I’m writing a book about all of this called “Death Wave” (http://www.kafilmworks.com/deathwave/) which deals with just this subject.

  • Neural forex said:

    Steve Kahn, thank you. It’s interesting. Gonna take a look at your book.

  • Kuzov Aleksey said:

    I fear the US is in for a big disappointment with Obama in the years to come. World experience proves the better of an orator the worse of an economist the leader proves to be. Yushenko (current ukrainain president disregarded by all nation) gained nation wide vote of trust at the point of presidental elections back in 2004 with that shrinking down to marginal 3% these days! So be careful, guys. Watch the deeds not the words!

  • Forex currency trading said:

    USA will never pay national debt, so is not a problem for them.
    National debt is a problem only for small countries.

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